The Risk Wire
Daily deployment intelligence for systematic traders. One question, every day: Is it safe to deploy?
Houthis Open Second Front, Iran Strikes US Troops, Oil Hits $115. Upgrading to CRITICAL.
The war widened dramatically over the weekend. Houthis entered the conflict firing missiles at Israel and threatening to close Bab al-Mandeb -- a second global chokepoint. Iran struck a US base in Saudi Arabia, injuring 12-15 troops and damaging aircraft. Tehran dismissed all negotiations. Oil surged to $115 with Brent on track for its largest monthly gain on record. With two chokepoints now threatened, US casualties mounting, and diplomacy dead, we're upgrading to CRITICAL for the first time.
Read full analysisI've been trading systematic strategies on US equities and futures since 2011. Every day, I assess volatility regimes, credit conditions, breadth, momentum, and macro catalysts to decide whether it's safe to be fully deployed or whether to pull back.
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