The Risk Wire
Daily deployment intelligence for systematic traders. One question, every day: Is it safe to deploy?
Israel Bombs Iranian Gas Infrastructure, Oil Hits $108, and the Fed Has No Good Options
Israel struck Iranian natural gas infrastructure early Wednesday, sending Brent crude surging 4.6% to $108. February PPI came in scorching at +0.7% (vs. 0.3% expected), with core PPI hitting 3.9% — the highest in over a year. The FOMC announces at 2 PM ET with a dot plot that may show half the committee projecting zero cuts this year. Three simultaneous shocks — energy escalation, inflation surprise, and monetary policy uncertainty — converge on the same trading day.
Read full analysisI've been trading systematic strategies on US equities and futures since 2011. Every day, I assess volatility regimes, credit conditions, breadth, momentum, and macro catalysts to decide whether it's safe to be fully deployed or whether to pull back.
The Risk Wire publishes that assessment. Not trade signals. Not stock picks. Just a daily read on market uncertainty and risk for other systematic traders.
Get the daily pulse in your inbox before the open.
Disclaimer
The Risk Wire is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing published here constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The author is not a registered financial advisor. All trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.