The Risk Wire
Daily deployment intelligence for systematic traders. One question, every day: Is it safe to deploy?
Deadline Day: Kharg Island Hit, IRGC Declares 'Restraint Is Over,' Trump Threatens to End a Civilization
The US struck 50+ military targets on Kharg Island hours before the 8 PM ET deadline. Trump warned 'a whole civilization will die tonight.' The IRGC told neighboring countries 'restraint is over' and threatened to deprive the US and its allies of oil and gas 'for years.' WTI crude surged to $116.55. S&P futures down 0.5%, still well below the 200-DMA. There is no deal, no extension, and no off-ramp. This is the most dangerous day of the war.
Read full analysisI've been trading systematic strategies on US equities and futures since 2011. Every day, I assess volatility regimes, credit conditions, breadth, momentum, and macro catalysts to decide whether it's safe to be fully deployed or whether to pull back.
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Disclaimer
The Risk Wire is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing published here constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The author is not a registered financial advisor. All trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.