The Risk Wire
Daily deployment intelligence for systematic traders. One question, every day: Is it safe to deploy?
Ceasefire Breaks, but VIX Still Caps Critical
Wednesday starts with the U.S.-Iran ceasefire effectively broken, fresh U.S. strikes, three Hormuz vessel attacks, Brent back near $78, and global bond yields moving higher. I am keeping the pulse at RED because the oil and policy rails have worsened together, but not CRITICAL yet because the equity selloff is still orderly and VIX has not confirmed a broad liquidation.
Read full analysisI've been trading systematic strategies on US equities and futures since 2011. Every day, I assess volatility regimes, credit conditions, breadth, momentum, and macro catalysts to decide whether it's safe to be fully deployed or whether to pull back.
The Risk Wire publishes that assessment. Not trade signals. Not stock picks. Just a daily read on market uncertainty and risk for other systematic traders.
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Disclaimer
The Risk Wire is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing published here constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The author is not a registered financial advisor. All trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.