The Risk Wire
Daily deployment intelligence for systematic traders. One question, every day: Is it safe to deploy?
Iran Hits the Shah Gas Field, Oil Reclaims $103, and the Fed Walks Into a Minefield
Iran struck Abu Dhabi's Shah gas field — the world's largest ultra-sour gas operation, 20% of UAE's gas supply — marking the first time upstream energy infrastructure was damaged in the war. Brent surged back above $103, diesel crossed $5/gallon nationally, and the FOMC begins its two-day meeting with the most impossible macro backdrop since the hiking cycle. Private credit defaults hit a record 9.2% as the SEC steps in.
Read full analysisI've been trading systematic strategies on US equities and futures since 2011. Every day, I assess volatility regimes, credit conditions, breadth, momentum, and macro catalysts to decide whether it's safe to be fully deployed or whether to pull back.
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Disclaimer
The Risk Wire is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing published here constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. The author is not a registered financial advisor. All trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.